Page 58 - CBM33-V2
P. 58

~ Packeta ~





            in Central Asia as well, bolstering a position that may see   path may however prove rocky—and not due to its relative
            weaker phases with more time-honoured individual markets.   inaccessibility within a ring of mountains or its extreme
            Overall, the German export position in broader European   continental climate of harsh winters and hot summers.
            terms remains strong, with the EU taken being far in   Rather, a formidable hurdle might be homemade, and in
            advance of any other market. Even the exclusion of the   writing rather than on physical routes leading inward. Claas-
            United Kingdom from this                                                   Mühlhäuser warns that
            group following the 2016    “POLAND HAS ALREADY                            another area of German
            Brexit vote has not cut in                                                 international renown,
                                        ESTABLISHED ITSELF AS
            deeply enough to bring the                                                 perhaps less laudable
            level downward anywhere                                                    than its auto industry,
            near the next takers, with                                                 could stand in the way—
            Germany shipping 445           GERMANY’S FOURTH                            bureaucracy. Exports here,
            billion euros of goods to EU                                               she says, may be seen as a
            2024, compared to a figure  LARGEST EXPORT PARTNER                         circumvention of existing
            countries in the first half of
                                                                                       export sanctions, thwarting
                                          – FOR THE FIRST TIME
            of just under 81 billion                                                   a trading relationship that
            euros for its next-in-ranking                                              could open doors not only to
            recipient when so measured,                                                fresh sources of energy, but
            the US. Notably, the V4’s       AHEAD OF CHINA.”                           as a source of agricultural
            100 billion portion makes up                                               products and market for
            nearly a quarter of the total                                              modernization technology.
            EU amount—on its own
            beating out purchases from the US and more than doubling   Unchanging amid change
            those from China. There are no foreseeable obstacles to this   Even If traditional trade balances are in flux, German
            steadily growing upward tendency. This rising purchasing   business abroad remains vigorous. Changing scenery however
            power and increasing demand makes it more attractive than   indicates it may do well to examine not only where German
            ever before for German retailers to review the opportunities   products are being bought, but also just where German
            offered by their nearer neighbours.               export strength lies. Traditional industries remain strong, and
                                                              that persistent image of German automobiles as an export
            The great trek farther East: Ukraine vs. Russia vs.   front-runner should be not discarded. Year-end figures for
            Kazakhstan                                        2023 show motor vehicles still atop export goods, bringing in
            The sand has shifted under other trade relationships as well.   roughly 270 billion euros. Machinery and equipment followed
            In addition, and parallel to its NATO-aligned support of   some 44 billion euros behind, with 226 billion in exports.
            Ukraine in the ongoing conflict with Russia, Germany has   Chemicals/chemical products, computer/electronics/optical
            strengthened its overall economic ties with Ukraine on   products and basic pharmaceuticals, in descending order,
            two fronts: both exports to and imports from the country   round out the top five exports. Electrical equipment, basic
            have risen, the former by 6.7 percent and the latter by   metals, food products and rubber/plastic goods are other areas
            approximately one fifth in the first half of 2024. This is   of high-volume export, meaning a wide spectrum of industries
            predictably in contrast with Russia’s current standing: exports   may find it advisable to concentrate their upcoming sales
            there fell by a whopping 25 percent (1.2 billion euros) in the   efforts on possibly overlooked terrain—or, in the words of a
            same period, with imports suffering an even greater decline of   well-known ice hockey legend, re-worked here slightly for
            58 percent. In actual currency, this left Russia with a figure of   prudence, to skate to where trends strongly indicate the puck
            a little over one billion euros in goods sold here in that period,   is going, not to where it with all likelihood will not. With the
            a downturn of roughly 1.5 billion euros. Russia continues to   notable difference that both sides stand to win in this game. ••
            sell fossil fuels to the EU, with this market being their second
            largest in 2023, but China, India and Turkey, taking first, third
            and fourth place respectively, are strong consolation for falling
            amounts—and customers uncomplicated by an active stance
            in defence of Ukraine.

            The foregoing is pushing Kazakhstan into a more prominent
            spot on Germany’s trade tally. Its abundant raw materials
            beckon, with this opportunity to purchase being conveniently
            partnered with prospects of pushing wares well needed in
            the land-locked giant—the largest of the former Soviet
            Union’s republics, with the exception of Russia itself. The







                                                            58
   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63